Sample deliverables

What GroundState would have surfaced.

Three sample dossiers, reconstructed from public court records and investigative reporting on real, adjudicated fraud cases. Each shows the relational structure — the ownership loops, nominee layers, and circular flows — that our analysis is built to expose before capital is committed.

These are illustrative reconstructions, not client work. GroundState did not conduct diligence engagements on eFishery, Vạn Thịnh Phát/SCB, or Wirecard. Every figure below is drawn from public reporting, regulatory filings, and court verdicts, and is cited at the foot of each dossier. We present them to demonstrate our analytical approach against outcomes that are now a matter of public record.

Retrospective
Diligence dossier · Ref GS-ILL-01 · AgriTech / Series D

eFishery

Aquaculture technology platform, Bandung, Indonesia. Reconstruction of the fabricated-revenue scheme that collapsed a USD 1.4 billion valuation.

Jurisdiction
Indonesia
Sector
AgriTech / SaaS
Peak valuation
USD 1.4B (2023)
Outcome
Founder — 9 yrs
94/100
Composite risk
Recommendation · Do not proceed

Reported revenue could not be reconciled to verifiable operational activity. Roughly 79% of stated sales traced to a network of related-party shell entities rather than end customers. Independent verification of the deployed asset base — the core operating metric — was structurally impossible against the figures presented.

01 Executive summary

eFishery presented itself as Southeast Asia's leading aquaculture-technology platform, reporting USD 752 million in revenue for Jan–Sep 2024 and a USD 16 million profit. A whistleblower-triggered forensic review (FTI Consulting, commissioned by the board in December 2024) found actual revenue of approximately USD 157 million and an operating loss of USD 35.4 million.

The gap — around USD 595 million, or 79% of reported revenue — was manufactured through fabricated invoices, fictitious contracts, and circular flows routed through roughly 15 related-party shell entities. The company also claimed 400,000+ deployed feeding units against a functional base later estimated at ~24,000. Two sets of books were maintained: one internal and accurate, one investor-facing and inflated.

02 The gap, in numbers
79%
of reported revenue fabricated (~USD 595M gap)
17×
claimed deployed units (400k) vs. ~24k functional
~15
related-party shell entities on the secondary cap table
8–10¢
projected investor recovery per dollar invested
03 Relational structure — circular revenue loop
eFishery reporting entity 15× related-party shell entities "revenue" — forged invoices funds out ▸ ◂ processed ◂ booked as sales round-trip ▸

Cash leaves the reporting entity, passes through controlled shells, and returns as "customer revenue" — a closed loop with no external counterparty. Related-party revenue concentration above ~30% is a first-order flag.

04 Principal findings

Revenue with no verifiable end customer

Sales were recorded against invoices and contracts routed through intermediaries rather than confirmed with paying end customers. Direct counterparty confirmation — a basic control — would have failed on the majority of stated revenue.

Pattern · circular invoicing

Operating metric could not be validated

The 400,000+ claimed feeding units carried no transparent tracking or distribution-chain evidence. Cross-checking device counts against inventory, deployment records, and third-party signals would have exposed the ~17× overstatement.

Pattern · inflated asset base

Dual bookkeeping

Two parallel financial records were maintained — accurate internal figures and inflated investor-facing figures. Reconciliation-gap analysis and messaging-record review surfaced the deliberate concealment architecture during the forensic audit.

Pattern · deliberate concealment

Governance without independent check

Founder-concentrated control of financial reporting, with no effective independent board oversight, removed the internal friction that normally constrains fabrication. Big-four-tier audits (PwC, Grant Thornton) did not detect the scheme.

Pattern · weak board governance
05 Reported vs. verified (Jan–Sep 2024)
Line itemAs reportedAs verifiedDelta
RevenueUSD 752MUSD 157M−79%
Net result+USD 16M profit−USD 35.4M loss−USD 51M
Deployed units400,000+~24,000−94%
Implied investor recovery8–10¢ / USD~92% loss
06 Red-flag register
Critical
Related-party revenue concentration

~15 shell entities on the secondary cap table with no clear operating purpose, generating circular flows booked as third-party sales.

Critical
Unverifiable operating metric

400k+ claimed units with no tracking data; the headline asset base could not be independently confirmed.

Critical
Dual financial records

Separate internal and investor-facing books — direct evidence of intent to deceive.

High
Audit reliance on intermediated documents

Forged invoices and contracts flowed through intermediaries; no direct supplier, customer, or bank confirmation protocol.

High
Founder-concentrated reporting control

Absence of independent board oversight over financial reporting.

07 How it unwound
2013–2024

Company scales; dual records and inflated device counts maintained across successive funding rounds.

Jul 2023

Series D closes at a USD 1.4B valuation (unicorn status), backed by SoftBank Vision Fund 2, Temasek, 42XFund and others.

Dec 2024

Whistleblower alerts a board member; founder dismissed; FTI Consulting engaged for a forensic review.

Jan 2025

Review confirms ~USD 595M revenue inflation (79% of reported); Bloomberg and others report publicly.

Apr 2026

Bandung District Court sentences founder Gibran Huzaifah to 9 years for fraud, embezzlement, and money laundering.

Where our analysis engages

The fabrication rested on a related-party network presented as an arm's-length customer base. GroundState maps the ownership and transaction relationships between entities first, then tests reported revenue against them — so revenue concentrated in controlled shells surfaces as structure, not as a footnote. In parallel, we treat headline operating metrics as claims to be verified against independent signals, not accepted as given.

Related-party network mappingRevenue-source attributionCircular-flow detectionOperating-metric verification

Sources

  1. Bloomberg — "SoftBank-Backed Fish Startup Allegedly Faked Most of Its Sales" (Jan 21, 2025). bloomberg.com
  2. CNBC — "eFishery: The impact a scandal has on an ecosystem already in deep water" (Feb 7, 2025). cnbc.com
  3. The Online Citizen — investor recovery projection (Feb 25, 2025). theonlinecitizen.com
  4. Caproasia — founder sentenced to 9 years (May 2026). caproasia.com

Reconstruction for illustration only. GroundState did not conduct a diligence engagement on eFishery. Figures reflect public reporting and the FTI Consulting findings as reported; some remain subject to ongoing legal proceedings.

These structures are visible before the collapse.

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